
Future of Advertising
Artificial intelligence in advertising
The production cost of advertising material has collapsed. What has not changed is that a good brief and a real idea are still the scarce inputs.
Future of Advertising
Impressions count delivery, viewability counts opportunity, attention counts what actually happened. The third correlates with effect and the first two do not.

The industry has counted impressions for thirty years, knowing that an impression describes delivery rather than perception. Attention measurement is the attempt to count what actually reaches a person.
An impression is recorded when an advertisement is served. Viewability adds a low bar: half the pixels for one second.
Neither describes whether anyone looked. Research using eye tracking consistently finds that a large share of viewable impressions receive no visual attention at all.
Consistent findings across attention studies:
| Format | Relative attention |
|---|---|
| Cinema | highest |
| Television, large screen | very high |
| Podcast host-read | very high |
| Print, magazine | high |
| Social video, sound on | medium to high |
| Online video, skippable | medium |
| Large display formats | medium |
| Standard display banner | very low |
| Small mobile banner | negligible |
The ranking is stable and it does not correspond to cost per thousand. Some of the cheapest inventory delivers almost no attention, which makes it the most expensive per attentive second.
Buying on attention changes the arithmetic in specific ways.
A format costing three times more per thousand but delivering six times the attention seconds is half the price on the measure that matters.
Large formats, high-dwell environments and full-attention media move up. Cheap remnant display and small mobile formats move down, often to the point where their inclusion cannot be justified.
Three approaches, all estimates.
Panel eye tracking. A recruited panel with cameras, measuring actual gaze. Most accurate, smallest sample.
On-device signals. Scroll speed, dwell time, interaction, audio state. Available at scale, indirect.
Modelled prediction. Attention estimated per format, placement and context from panel data. The practical option for planning.
None is precise. All are considerably closer to reality than counting served impressions.
Attention is a better proxy, not a guarantee. An advertisement that is looked at and disliked has consumed attention and produced a negative outcome.
The creative still decides what happens with the attention that the media buying delivers.
Eye tracking panels, on-device attention signals and modelled predictions per format and placement. All are estimates, and better estimates than impressions.
Increasingly, through attention-adjusted metrics offered by several measurement providers and some sellers.
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